UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 65, Cal State Northridge Matadors 74
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Cal State Northridge Matadors
Cal State Northridge Matadors defeated UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 74–65 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:55 swung win probability 65% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Santa Barbara Gauchos lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 26 | 39 | 65 |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 34 | 40 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:55 swung win probability 65% → 100%.
Why UC Santa Barbara Gauchos lost
- Lost H1 26-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 15:01 (win probability 66% → 95% for the home side).
- Shot 39.3% eFG vs a 54.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 13–0 | H1 15:01 | 66% → 95% |
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 9–0 | H1 11:34 | 95% → 79% |
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 8–0 | H1 6:43 | 91% → 68% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 9–0 | H2 0:55 | 65% → 100% |