Sacramento State Hornets 88, Cal State Northridge Matadors 100
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-22 · Winner: Cal State Northridge Matadors
Cal State Northridge Matadors defeated Sacramento State Hornets 100–88 on 2025-12-22 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 4:06 swung win probability 36% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 44 | 44 | 88 |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 52 | 48 | 100 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 4:06 swung win probability 36% → 99%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost H1 44-52 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 10:45 (win probability 49% → 82% for the home side).
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 9–0 | H1 10:45 | 49% → 82% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 9–0 | H1 6:55 | 65% → 92% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 9–0 | H2 14:23 | 97% → 74% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 9–0 | H2 4:06 | 36% → 99% |