Xavier Musketeers 78, Villanova Wildcats 91
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Villanova Wildcats
Villanova Wildcats defeated Xavier Musketeers 91–78 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 14:15 swung win probability 62% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 32 | 46 | 78 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 44 | 47 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 14:15 swung win probability 62% → 95%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost H1 32-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H1 14:15 (win probability 62% → 95% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats | 14–0 | H1 14:15 | 62% → 95% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 11–0 | H1 6:52 | 82% → 98% |
| Xavier Musketeers | 8–0 | H2 19:36 | 99% → 92% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 11–0 | H2 7:46 | 89% → 100% |