Villanova Wildcats 57, St. John's Red Storm 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Villanova Wildcats 89–57 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 32-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 15:47 swung win probability 55% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Villanova Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats | 23 | 34 | 57 |
| St. John's Red Storm | 48 | 41 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 15:47 swung win probability 55% → 88%.
Why Villanova Wildcats lost
- Lost H1 23-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 2:31 (win probability 97% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 43.5% eFG vs a 53.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 11–0 | H1 15:47 | 55% → 88% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 11–0 | H1 8:16 | 84% → 99% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 12–0 | H1 2:31 | 97% → 100% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 8–0 | H2 19:28 | 100% → 100% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 9–0 | H2 10:30 | 100% → 100% |