Xavier Musketeers 84, Providence Friars 94
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-25 · Winner: Providence Friars
Providence Friars defeated Xavier Musketeers 94–84 on 2026-02-25 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 15:29 swung win probability 58% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 34 | 50 | 84 |
| Providence Friars | 47 | 47 | 94 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 15:29 swung win probability 58% → 88%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost H1 34-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 10:07 (win probability 78% → 98% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-11 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Providence Friars | 10–0 | H1 15:29 | 58% → 88% |
| Providence Friars | 11–0 | H1 10:07 | 78% → 98% |
| Xavier Musketeers | 8–0 | H1 3:27 | 100% → 98% |