Xavier Musketeers 75, Butler Bulldogs 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Butler Bulldogs
Butler Bulldogs defeated Xavier Musketeers 80–75 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 4:36 swung win probability 90% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 28 | 47 | 75 |
| Butler Bulldogs | 47 | 33 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 4:36 swung win probability 90% → 99%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost H1 28-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 4:36 (win probability 90% → 99% for the home side).
- Outscored 25-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Butler Bulldogs | 10–0 | H1 4:36 | 90% → 99% |