Villanova Wildcats 92, Xavier Musketeers 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-17 · Winner: Villanova Wildcats
Villanova Wildcats defeated Xavier Musketeers 92–89 on 2026-02-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 10:12 swung win probability 78% → 43%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats | 43 | 38 | 11 | 92 |
| Xavier Musketeers | 42 | 39 | 8 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 10:12 swung win probability 78% → 43%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 10:12 (win probability 78% → 43% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-6.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 11–0 | H1 17:05 | 56% → 87% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 10–0 | H1 10:12 | 78% → 43% |
| Xavier Musketeers | 8–0 | H1 2:06 | 24% → 56% |