Xavier Musketeers 68, Seton Hall Pirates 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-28 · Winner: Seton Hall Pirates
Seton Hall Pirates defeated Xavier Musketeers 86–68 on 2026-01-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 18-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at H2 15:58 swung win probability 12% → 74%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 41 | 27 | 68 |
| Seton Hall Pirates | 30 | 56 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at H2 15:58 swung win probability 12% → 74%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost H2 27-56 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H2 15:58 (win probability 12% → 74% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-10.
- Outscored 21-8 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seton Hall Pirates | 14–0 | H2 15:58 | 12% → 74% |
| Seton Hall Pirates | 9–0 | H2 13:41 | 58% → 95% |
| Seton Hall Pirates | 12–0 | H2 0:28 | 97% → 100% |