St. John's Red Storm 88, Xavier Musketeers 83
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Xavier Musketeers 88–83 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 12:56 swung win probability 94% → 63%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 37 | 51 | 88 |
| Xavier Musketeers | 49 | 34 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 12:56 swung win probability 94% → 63%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost H2 34-51 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 15:01 (win probability 99% → 92% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-5.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 8–0 | H1 7:00 | 65% → 90% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 8–0 | H2 15:01 | 99% → 92% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 8–0 | H2 12:56 | 94% → 63% |