St. John's Red Storm 86, Villanova Wildcats 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Villanova Wildcats 86–79 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at H2 14:03 swung win probability 36% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Villanova Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 36 | 50 | 86 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 35 | 44 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at H2 14:03 swung win probability 36% → 1%.
Why Villanova Wildcats lost
- Lost H2 44-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 14:03 (win probability 36% → 1% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 13–0 | H2 14:03 | 36% → 1% |