Xavier Musketeers 65, Marquette Golden Eagles 66
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Marquette Golden Eagles
Marquette Golden Eagles defeated Xavier Musketeers 66–65 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 10:14 swung win probability 99% → 70%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Xavier Musketeers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 27 | 38 | 65 |
| Marquette Golden Eagles | 37 | 29 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 10:14 swung win probability 99% → 70%.
Why Xavier Musketeers lost
- Lost H1 27-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 0:41 (win probability 68% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 46.6% eFG vs a 51.8% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-10.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette Golden Eagles | 8–0 | H1 0:41 | 68% → 94% |
| Xavier Musketeers | 11–0 | H2 10:14 | 99% → 70% |