St. John's Red Storm 84, Butler Bulldogs 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-06 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Butler Bulldogs 84–70 on 2026-01-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 14-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 8:04 swung win probability 44% → 76%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Butler Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 42 | 42 | 84 |
| Butler Bulldogs | 42 | 28 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 8:04 swung win probability 44% → 76%.
Why Butler Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 28-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 7:29 (win probability 22% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Butler Bulldogs | 8–0 | H1 8:04 | 44% → 76% |
| St. John's Red Storm | 9–0 | H2 7:29 | 22% → 0% |