Providence Friars 77, St. John's Red Storm 71
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Providence Friars
Providence Friars defeated St. John's Red Storm 77–71 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 4:44 swung win probability 98% → 65%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. John's Red Storm lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Providence Friars | 31 | 46 | 77 |
| St. John's Red Storm | 38 | 33 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 4:44 swung win probability 98% → 65%.
Why St. John's Red Storm lost
- Lost H2 33-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 8:43 (win probability 92% → 72% for the home side).
- Shot 33.1% eFG vs a 51.1% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 10–0 | H1 16:15 | 72% → 94% |
| Providence Friars | 8–0 | H1 8:43 | 92% → 72% |
| Providence Friars | 8–0 | H2 4:44 | 98% → 65% |