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St. John's Red Storm 95, Georgetown Hoyas 83

NCAA Men's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm

St. John's Red Storm defeated Georgetown Hoyas 95–83 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 1:02 swung win probability 68% → 26%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Georgetown Hoyas lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
St. John's Red Storm524395
Georgetown Hoyas473683

Win probability

Georgetown Hoyas win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Georgetown Hoyas) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 1:02 swung win probability 68% → 26%.
Why Georgetown Hoyas lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Georgetown Hoyas9–0H1 11:5946% → 79%
St. John's Red Storm10–0H1 4:0885% → 46%
St. John's Red Storm9–0H1 1:0268% → 26%
St. John's Red Storm8–0H2 11:4718% → 1%
St. John's Red Storm8–0H2 3:240% → 0%

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