American University Eagles 83, VCU Rams 105
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-18 · Winner: VCU Rams
VCU Rams defeated American University Eagles 105–83 on 2025-12-18 in NCAA Men's play, a 22-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 0:40 swung win probability 80% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why American University Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| American University Eagles | 35 | 48 | 83 |
| VCU Rams | 48 | 57 | 105 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 0:40 swung win probability 80% → 98%.
Why American University Eagles lost
- Lost H1 35-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 0:40 (win probability 80% → 98% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | H1 4:55 | 79% → 96% |
| VCU Rams | 9–0 | H1 0:40 | 80% → 98% |
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | H2 13:01 | 97% → 100% |
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | H2 10:26 | 100% → 100% |