Lindenwood Lions 65, Missouri State Bears 70
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-23 · Winner: Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears defeated Lindenwood Lions 70–65 on 2025-12-23 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 6:41 swung win probability 49% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Lindenwood Lions lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lindenwood Lions | 22 | 43 | 65 |
| Missouri State Bears | 34 | 36 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 6:41 swung win probability 49% → 88%.
Why Lindenwood Lions lost
- Lost H1 22-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 6:41 (win probability 49% → 88% for the home side).
- Shot 39.8% eFG vs a 50.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears | 11–0 | H1 6:41 | 49% → 88% |
| Missouri State Bears | 10–0 | H2 19:02 | 80% → 99% |
| Lindenwood Lions | 9–0 | H2 15:43 | 97% → 74% |
| Lindenwood Lions | 10–0 | H2 2:51 | 100% → 79% |