Valparaiso Beacons 70, Northwestern Wildcats 86
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-16 · Winner: Northwestern Wildcats
Northwestern Wildcats defeated Valparaiso Beacons 86–70 on 2025-12-16 in NCAA Men's play, a 16-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 13:14 swung win probability 75% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Valparaiso Beacons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 30 | 40 | 70 |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 39 | 47 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 13:14 swung win probability 75% → 93%.
Why Valparaiso Beacons lost
- Lost H1 30-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 16:21 (win probability 90% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern Wildcats | 8–0 | H1 13:14 | 75% → 93% |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 11–0 | H2 16:21 | 90% → 100% |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 10–0 | H2 12:23 | 99% → 100% |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 9–0 | H2 8:41 | 100% → 100% |