Wake Forest Demon Deacons 70, Virginia Cavaliers 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated Wake Forest Demon Deacons 75–70 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 5:20 swung win probability 87% → 60%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 24 | 46 | 70 |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 32 | 43 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 5:20 swung win probability 87% → 60%.
Why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost
- Lost H1 24-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 8:38 (win probability 61% → 87% for the home side).
- Shot 45.2% eFG vs a 52.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | H1 8:38 | 61% → 87% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8–0 | H1 5:20 | 87% → 60% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | H2 19:37 | 68% → 94% |