Duke Blue Devils 93, NC State Wolfpack 64
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-02 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated NC State Wolfpack 93–64 on 2026-03-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 29-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 15:04 swung win probability 75% → 42%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why NC State Wolfpack lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 47 | 46 | 93 |
| NC State Wolfpack | 30 | 34 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 15:04 swung win probability 75% → 42%.
Why NC State Wolfpack lost
- Lost H1 30-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 3:02 (win probability 0% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 40.8% eFG vs a 55.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 9–0 | H1 15:04 | 75% → 42% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 9–0 | H1 2:44 | 38% → 7% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 9–0 | H2 18:05 | 6% → 0% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 11–0 | H2 3:02 | 0% → 0% |