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NC State Wolfpack 90, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 96

NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame Fighting Irish defeated NC State Wolfpack 96–90 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at OT 3:46 swung win probability 10% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why NC State Wolfpack lost.

Linescore

H1H2OTFinal
NC State Wolfpack4437990
Notre Dame Fighting Irish38431596

Win probability

Notre Dame Fighting Irish win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Notre Dame Fighting Irish) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at OT 3:46 swung win probability 10% → 85%.
Why NC State Wolfpack lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
NC State Wolfpack8–0H1 4:3661% → 28%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish8–0H2 12:3816% → 53%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish10–0OT 3:4610% → 85%

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