Virginia Tech Hokies 82, North Carolina Tar Heels 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Virginia Tech Hokies 89–82 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 18:26 swung win probability 44% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia Tech Hokies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 44 | 38 | 82 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 44 | 45 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 18:26 swung win probability 44% → 85%.
Why Virginia Tech Hokies lost
- Lost H2 38-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 9:40 (win probability 45% → 79% for the home side).
- Outscored 23-11 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 9–0 | H1 9:40 | 45% → 79% |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 9–0 | H1 3:54 | 88% → 55% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 9–0 | H2 18:26 | 44% → 85% |