SMU Mustangs 69, California Golden Bears 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-25 · Winner: California Golden Bears
California Golden Bears defeated SMU Mustangs 73–69 on 2026-02-25 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 1:58 swung win probability 97% → 12%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SMU Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 33 | 36 | 69 |
| California Golden Bears | 38 | 35 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 1:58 swung win probability 97% → 12%.
Why SMU Mustangs lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 10:03 (win probability 25% → 76% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 8–0 | H1 4:17 | 90% → 64% |
| SMU Mustangs | 11–0 | H2 11:47 | 85% → 25% |
| California Golden Bears | 8–0 | H2 10:03 | 25% → 76% |
| California Golden Bears | 8–0 | H2 5:04 | 37% → 95% |
| SMU Mustangs | 9–0 | H2 1:58 | 97% → 12% |