NC State Wolfpack 61, Virginia Cavaliers 90
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-24 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated NC State Wolfpack 90–61 on 2026-02-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 29-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 13:11 swung win probability 62% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why NC State Wolfpack lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack | 19 | 42 | 61 |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 32 | 58 | 90 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 13:11 swung win probability 62% → 93%.
Why NC State Wolfpack lost
- Lost H2 42-58 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 13:11 (win probability 62% → 93% for the home side).
- Shot 36.0% eFG vs a 55.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 12–0 | H1 13:11 | 62% → 93% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 10–0 | H1 7:54 | 93% → 68% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | H2 18:57 | 86% → 99% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 10–0 | H2 5:44 | 100% → 100% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | H2 1:23 | 100% → 100% |