Miami Hurricanes 83, Virginia Cavaliers 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated Miami Hurricanes 86–83 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 15:58 swung win probability 37% → 78%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Hurricanes lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes | 44 | 39 | 83 |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 39 | 47 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 15:58 swung win probability 37% → 78%.
Why Miami Hurricanes lost
- Lost H2 39-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 15:58 (win probability 37% → 78% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes | 8–0 | H1 13:13 | 75% → 46% |
| Miami Hurricanes | 9–0 | H1 9:26 | 54% → 19% |
| Miami Hurricanes | 8–0 | H1 0:01 | 73% → 34% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | H2 15:58 | 37% → 78% |