North Carolina Tar Heels 77, Syracuse Orange 64
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Syracuse Orange 77–64 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 9:53 swung win probability 57% → 8%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Syracuse Orange lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 33 | 44 | 77 |
| Syracuse Orange | 28 | 36 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 9:53 swung win probability 57% → 8%.
Why Syracuse Orange lost
- Lost H2 36-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 9:53 (win probability 57% → 8% for the home side).
- Shot 44.9% eFG vs a 52.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 8–0 | H2 9:53 | 57% → 8% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 8–0 | H2 1:44 | 0% → 0% |