North Carolina Tar Heels 58, NC State Wolfpack 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-17 · Winner: NC State Wolfpack
NC State Wolfpack defeated North Carolina Tar Heels 82–58 on 2026-02-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 24-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 15:29 swung win probability 54% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Carolina Tar Heels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| NC State Wolfpack | 42 | 40 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 15:29 swung win probability 54% → 81%.
Why North Carolina Tar Heels lost
- Lost H1 26-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 15:29 (win probability 54% → 81% for the home side).
- Shot 35.8% eFG vs a 54.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 12-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack | 8–0 | H1 15:29 | 54% → 81% |