SMU Mustangs 78, Syracuse Orange 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Syracuse Orange
Syracuse Orange defeated SMU Mustangs 79–78 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 6:18 swung win probability 48% → 14%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SMU Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 39 | 39 | 78 |
| Syracuse Orange | 35 | 44 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 6:18 swung win probability 48% → 14%.
Why SMU Mustangs lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 1:43 (win probability 18% → 50% for the home side).
- Shot 48.5% eFG vs a 55.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 9–0 | H1 6:18 | 48% → 14% |
| Syracuse Orange | 8–0 | H1 1:43 | 18% → 50% |