NC State Wolfpack 77, Louisville Cardinals 118
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-09 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated NC State Wolfpack 118–77 on 2026-02-09 in NCAA Men's play, a 41-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 15:37 swung win probability 72% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why NC State Wolfpack lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack | 36 | 41 | 77 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 56 | 62 | 118 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 15:37 swung win probability 72% → 91%.
Why NC State Wolfpack lost
- Lost H2 41-62 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 15:45 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 44.1% eFG vs a 55.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 8–0 | H1 15:37 | 72% → 91% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 10–0 | H2 15:45 | 100% → 100% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 8–0 | H2 13:11 | 100% → 100% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 8–0 | H2 9:38 | 100% → 100% |