Syracuse Orange 59, Virginia Cavaliers 72
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated Syracuse Orange 72–59 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 12:29 swung win probability 47% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Syracuse Orange lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse Orange | 35 | 24 | 59 |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 38 | 34 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 12:29 swung win probability 47% → 86%.
Why Syracuse Orange lost
- Lost H2 24-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 12:29 (win probability 47% → 86% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-6.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 12–0 | H1 12:29 | 47% → 86% |
| Syracuse Orange | 8–0 | H1 3:20 | 88% → 60% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | H2 17:36 | 59% → 91% |