Florida State Seminoles 82, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 82–79 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 14-0 road team run ending at H1 14:44 swung win probability 59% → 12%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 41 | 41 | 82 |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32 | 47 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 road team run ending at H1 14:44 swung win probability 59% → 12%.
Why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost
- Lost H1 32-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H1 14:44 (win probability 59% → 12% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 12-5.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 14–0 | H1 14:44 | 59% → 12% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10–0 | H1 2:15 | 4% → 27% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8–0 | H2 14:19 | 9% → 39% |