Duke Blue Devils 68, North Carolina Tar Heels 71
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Duke Blue Devils 71–68 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:01 swung win probability 2% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Duke Blue Devils lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 41 | 27 | 68 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 29 | 42 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:01 swung win probability 2% → 100%.
Why Duke Blue Devils lost
- Lost H2 27-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 8:09 (win probability 20% → 52% for the home side).
- Shot 50.8% eFG vs a 56.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 10–0 | H1 13:37 | 51% → 16% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 9–0 | H1 8:09 | 20% → 52% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | H1 1:29 | 46% → 13% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 9–0 | H2 0:01 | 2% → 100% |