Notre Dame Fighting Irish 65, Louisville Cardinals 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 76–65 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 10:11 swung win probability 27% → 61%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32 | 33 | 65 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 38 | 38 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 10:11 swung win probability 27% → 61%.
Why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost
- Lost H1 32-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H2 3:30 (win probability 88% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 47.6% eFG vs a 52.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 9–0 | H1 10:11 | 27% → 61% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 8–0 | H1 1:01 | 68% → 93% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 14–0 | H2 3:30 | 88% → 100% |