Virginia Cavaliers 100, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 97
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-27 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 100–97 on 2026-01-27 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 2:13 swung win probability 46% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | OT2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 35 | 38 | 12 | 15 | 100 |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 44 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 97 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 2:13 swung win probability 46% → 88%.
Why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost
- Lost H2 29-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 8:20 (win probability 83% → 43% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-9.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8–0 | H1 11:56 | 72% → 90% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | H2 13:08 | 95% → 76% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 9–0 | H2 8:20 | 83% → 43% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8–0 | H2 2:13 | 46% → 88% |