California Golden Bears 78, Stanford Cardinal 66
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: California Golden Bears
California Golden Bears defeated Stanford Cardinal 78–66 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H2 18:42 swung win probability 77% → 20%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stanford Cardinal lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Golden Bears | 38 | 40 | 78 |
| Stanford Cardinal | 34 | 32 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H2 18:42 swung win probability 77% → 20%.
Why Stanford Cardinal lost
- Lost H2 32-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 18:42 (win probability 77% → 20% for the home side).
- Shot 31.8% eFG vs a 51.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 10–0 | H1 8:14 | 72% → 95% |
| California Golden Bears | 8–0 | H1 4:31 | 98% → 88% |
| California Golden Bears | 8–0 | H1 3:02 | 92% → 68% |
| California Golden Bears | 12–0 | H2 18:42 | 77% → 20% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 10–0 | H2 6:38 | 4% → 55% |
| California Golden Bears | 12–0 | H2 0:55 | 26% → 0% |