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Florida State Seminoles 80, SMU Mustangs 83

NCAA Men's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs defeated Florida State Seminoles 83–80 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 15:08 swung win probability 92% → 52%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida State Seminoles lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Florida State Seminoles344680
SMU Mustangs463783

Win probability

SMU Mustangs win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (SMU Mustangs) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 15:08 swung win probability 92% → 52%.
Why Florida State Seminoles lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Florida State Seminoles10–0H2 15:0892% → 52%

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