Notre Dame Fighting Irish 69, North Carolina Tar Heels 91
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 91–69 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 22-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 17:26 swung win probability 92% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33 | 36 | 69 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 42 | 49 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 17:26 swung win probability 92% → 100%.
Why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost
- Lost H2 36-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 17:26 (win probability 92% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 41.3% eFG vs a 52.3% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 16-7 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 10–0 | H2 17:26 | 92% → 100% |