North Carolina Tar Heels 90, Stanford Cardinal 95
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Stanford Cardinal
Stanford Cardinal defeated North Carolina Tar Heels 95–90 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 3:46 swung win probability 19% → 60%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Carolina Tar Heels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 47 | 43 | 90 |
| Stanford Cardinal | 45 | 50 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 3:46 swung win probability 19% → 60%.
Why North Carolina Tar Heels lost
- Lost H2 43-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 3:46 (win probability 19% → 60% for the home side).
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 10–0 | H1 3:46 | 19% → 60% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 8–0 | H2 17:35 | 49% → 12% |