Stanford Cardinal 55, Virginia Cavaliers 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated Stanford Cardinal 70–55 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 14:49 swung win probability 82% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stanford Cardinal lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 34 | 21 | 55 |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 41 | 29 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 14:49 swung win probability 82% → 99%.
Why Stanford Cardinal lost
- Lost H2 21-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 14:49 (win probability 82% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 36.6% eFG vs a 51.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 9–0 | H2 14:49 | 82% → 99% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 9–0 | H2 10:44 | 98% → 100% |