Wake Forest Demon Deacons 84, North Carolina Tar Heels 87
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Wake Forest Demon Deacons 87–84 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 13:53 swung win probability 72% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 38 | 46 | 84 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 49 | 38 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 13:53 swung win probability 72% → 93%.
Why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost
- Lost H1 38-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 13:53 (win probability 72% → 93% for the home side).
- Outscored 20-8 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 9–0 | H1 13:53 | 72% → 93% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9–0 | H1 12:33 | 93% → 72% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8–0 | H2 7:08 | 100% → 95% |