Stanford Cardinal 69, Virginia Tech Hokies 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Stanford Cardinal
Stanford Cardinal defeated Virginia Tech Hokies 69–68 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 11:23 swung win probability 51% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia Tech Hokies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 24 | 45 | 69 |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 31 | 37 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 11:23 swung win probability 51% → 84%.
Why Virginia Tech Hokies lost
- Lost H2 37-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 0:28 (win probability 100% → 82% for the home side).
- Shot 46.2% eFG vs a 52.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 10–0 | H1 11:23 | 51% → 84% |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 8–0 | H2 15:46 | 77% → 97% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 11–0 | H2 0:28 | 100% → 82% |