SMU Mustangs 70, Clemson Tigers 74
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Clemson Tigers
Clemson Tigers defeated SMU Mustangs 74–70 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 5:43 swung win probability 61% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SMU Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 25 | 45 | 70 |
| Clemson Tigers | 34 | 40 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 5:43 swung win probability 61% → 95%.
Why SMU Mustangs lost
- Lost H1 25-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 5:43 (win probability 61% → 95% for the home side).
- Shot 43.1% eFG vs a 55.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson Tigers | 12–0 | H1 5:43 | 61% → 95% |
| Clemson Tigers | 8–0 | H2 13:48 | 82% → 99% |