Duke Blue Devils 84, Louisville Cardinals 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-06 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Louisville Cardinals 84–73 on 2026-01-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 12:18 swung win probability 86% → 38%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisville Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 38 | 46 | 84 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 47 | 26 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 12:18 swung win probability 86% → 38%.
Why Louisville Cardinals lost
- Lost H2 26-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 12:18 (win probability 86% → 38% for the home side).
- Shot 49.2% eFG vs a 56.5% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 19-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 9–0 | H2 12:18 | 86% → 38% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | H2 6:58 | 42% → 2% |