Virginia Cavaliers 85, Virginia Tech Hokies 95
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Virginia Tech Hokies
Virginia Tech Hokies defeated Virginia Cavaliers 95–85 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at H1 13:14 swung win probability 52% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia Cavaliers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | OT2 | OT3 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 24 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 85 |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 23 | 32 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at H1 13:14 swung win probability 52% → 86%.
Why Virginia Cavaliers lost
- Lost OT 7-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 13:14 (win probability 52% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 41.6% eFG vs a 54.6% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 28-11 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 13–0 | H1 13:14 | 52% → 86% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | H1 1:09 | 83% → 58% |