Notre Dame Fighting Irish 47, Stanford Cardinal 40
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame Fighting Irish defeated Stanford Cardinal 47–40 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 8:43 swung win probability 81% → 44%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stanford Cardinal lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 22 | 25 | 47 |
| Stanford Cardinal | 17 | 23 | 40 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 8:43 swung win probability 81% → 44%.
Why Stanford Cardinal lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 8:43 (win probability 81% → 44% for the home side).
- Shot 26.8% eFG vs a 51.5% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-10.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 8–0 | H1 16:08 | 55% → 81% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10–0 | H1 8:43 | 81% → 44% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10–0 | H2 13:27 | 38% → 2% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 8–0 | H2 5:52 | 1% → 20% |