Louisville Cardinals 90, California Golden Bears 70
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated California Golden Bears 90–70 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 20-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 17:45 swung win probability 55% → 26%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why California Golden Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 48 | 42 | 90 |
| California Golden Bears | 34 | 36 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 17:45 swung win probability 55% → 26%.
Why California Golden Bears lost
- Lost H1 34-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 12:43 (win probability 2% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 41.5% eFG vs a 52.4% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 8–0 | H1 17:45 | 55% → 26% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 9–0 | H1 9:00 | 30% → 6% |
| California Golden Bears | 10–0 | H1 3:15 | 2% → 14% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 10–0 | H2 12:43 | 2% → 0% |
| California Golden Bears | 14–0 | H2 6:44 | 0% → 1% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 10–0 | H2 1:09 | 0% → 0% |