Air Force Falcons 59, Nevada Wolf Pack 74
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack defeated Air Force Falcons 74–59 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 17:00 swung win probability 69% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 25 | 34 | 59 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 32 | 42 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 17:00 swung win probability 69% → 93%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost H2 34-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 17:00 (win probability 69% → 93% for the home side).
- Outscored 16-7 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-3.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 10–0 | H1 17:00 | 69% → 93% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 9–0 | H2 17:37 | 84% → 99% |