San José State Spartans 86, Air Force Falcons 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-24 · Winner: San José State Spartans
San José State Spartans defeated Air Force Falcons 86–80 on 2026-02-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 14:52 swung win probability 64% → 20%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San José State Spartans | 42 | 44 | 86 |
| Air Force Falcons | 37 | 43 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 14:52 swung win probability 64% → 20%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 5:40 (win probability 69% → 26% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 11–0 | H1 16:37 | 55% → 88% |
| San José State Spartans | 8–0 | H1 9:33 | 84% → 57% |
| San José State Spartans | 10–0 | H1 5:40 | 69% → 26% |
| San José State Spartans | 8–0 | H2 14:52 | 64% → 20% |