Air Force Falcons 61, New Mexico Lobos 98
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-17 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated Air Force Falcons 98–61 on 2026-02-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 37-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 18:05 swung win probability 55% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 33 | 28 | 61 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 55 | 43 | 98 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 18:05 swung win probability 55% → 81%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost H1 33-55 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 4:51 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 43.8% eFG vs a 48.9% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 8–0 | H1 18:05 | 55% → 81% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 9–0 | H2 10:36 | 100% → 100% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 12–0 | H2 4:51 | 100% → 100% |