San Diego State Aztecs 88, Air Force Falcons 54
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated Air Force Falcons 88–54 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 34-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 13:38 swung win probability 78% → 38%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 45 | 43 | 88 |
| Air Force Falcons | 26 | 28 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H1 13:38 swung win probability 78% → 38%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost H1 26-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 8:43 (win probability 45% → 7% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 11–0 | H1 13:38 | 78% → 38% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 12–0 | H1 8:43 | 45% → 7% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 9–0 | H2 12:57 | 0% → 0% |