Air Force Falcons 57, Grand Canyon Lopes 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-03 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated Air Force Falcons 81–57 on 2026-02-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 24-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 8:13 swung win probability 75% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 18 | 39 | 57 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 48 | 33 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 8:13 swung win probability 75% → 96%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost H1 18-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 2:21 (win probability 93% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 18-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 10–0 | H1 8:13 | 75% → 96% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 12–0 | H1 2:21 | 93% → 100% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 9–0 | H1 0:37 | 100% → 100% |
| Air Force Falcons | 8–0 | H2 4:51 | 100% → 100% |